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[ Momentum ]

EMA Trend Short: Short-Only Trend Following

Viewing pinned version v2 · FUTURES · 1h · USDT

A short-only, trend-following strategy that shorts when price closes below a declining EMA and covers once the downtrend reverses.

Return
+0.9%
Max drawdown
0.9%
Win rate
26.9%
Sharpe
1.37
Sortino
2.92
Calmar
6.92
Profit factor
1.16
Trades
416
Backtest window: 2025-08-28 – 2026-06-09
Low overfit risk

Simulated backtest results on historical data, self-selected by the publisher — no orders were ever placed and no capital was ever at risk. A backtest can overfit to the past no matter what its robustness band says, and past performance does not predict future results. Live trading differs from simulation — slippage, fees, latency, liquidity and exchange outages all apply — and losses can exceed anything shown here. This is not investment advice or a suitability assessment: forking a strategy runs it with your own capital, on your own exchange account.

Forking copies “EMA Trend Short: Short-Only Trend Following” into your own workspace after a free sign-up. It never runs automatically, and your exchange keys are never touched.

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EMA Trend Short is a short-only, trend-following strategy built for futures/margin markets. It uses two exponential moving averages as a trend filter: a short only opens when the fast EMA sits below the slow EMA, the slow EMA itself is declining over a configurable lookback window, and price is trading below the slow EMA. The short is covered as soon as price reclaims the slow EMA, on the view that the downtrend thesis no longer holds. All three periods (fast EMA, slow EMA, and the trend-lookback window) are exposed as hyperopt-tunable parameters, optimized only against the in-sample training window, never the out-of-sample leg. Because a short position carries unbounded loss potential if price rallies against it, a hard stoploss is set on every position; there is no exception. This is an original technique authored for this backtest window and is not adapted from any third-party codebase. As with every listing on this marketplace, the results shown come from simulated, self-selected backtests over historical data and are not a guarantee or indication of future performance.

Strategy structure

Indicator types and condition shape only — every threshold and tuned parameter is masked. Fork this strategy to see the real values.

Can short